Which countries’ carbon footprints are actually increasing?

josh jackman
Written By
Updated on 23 February 2022
  • 71% of countries are seeing a rise in their emissions
  • Indias emissions have increased by 44% over the past decade
  • Saudi Arabia produces 18.3 tonnes of CO2e per person

Over the past decade, as climate change has begun wreaking havoc across the world, many countries have finally started to take their carbon footprints seriously.

Weve seen wealthy nations like the UK, Germany, and the US slash their emissions as they try to fulfil net-zero goals that will reduce the catastrophic effects of this man-made phenomenon. Eight countries have already reached net-zero emissions.

But carbon emissions are still rising worldwide, by 14% in the past 10 years (World Bank, 2022) and 71% of countries have increased their emissions in that time.

Our in-depth analysis will tell you which countries are most to blame, and explain why their emissions are rising.

China

Carbon footprint: 11.7 billion tonnes

Increase in the past 10 years: 38%

China has the biggest carbon footprint in the world.

Since its the worlds most populated country, that makes sense except that its emissions total is even bigger than the next seven nations on this list, combined.

China overtook the US at the top of the emissions standings in 2005. Just 12 years later, China was releasing more than twice as much CO2e* as its fellow superpower and it hasnt slowed down.

This nations 1,058 coal plants house more than half of the worlds capacity, and its coal consumption is responsible for eight billion tonnes of greenhouse gases.

The countrys oil consumption produces 2.3 billion tonnes of emissions more than Brazils total emissions.

In total, China releases 2,885 times more greenhouse gases than the UK a figure only slightly softened by the fact that Chinas population is 21 times bigger than ours.

Chinas authoritarian leaders have promised to reach net-zero emissions by 2060, with the crucial catch that they expect their emissions to continue growing this decade, and peak by 2030.

But constant economic growth is crucial to Chinas plans to become the worlds undisputed top superpower so dont hold your breath for its emissions to drop any time soon.

*Carbon dioxide equivalent, calculated by comparing the effect of all other gases to that of CO2, to find one simple measure of greenhouse gases

India

Carbon footprint: 3.4 billion tonnes

Increase in the past 10 years: 44%

Like China, India is an enormous country with well over a billion people thats expanding its economy rapidly, and has no plans to slow down.

Indias carbon footprint is currently three and a half times smaller than Chinas but its growing at a faster rate than the latters.

After overseeing an increase in his countrys carbon footprint since coming to power in 2014, Prime Minister Narendra Modi pledged at COP26 in 2021 that India would reach net zero by 2070.

This is the latest such goal put forward by any nation, and shows an unfortunate lack of ambition. We hoped for more from the third-biggest emitter in the world.

It should be said that India currently emits 2.4 tonnes per person less than half of the UKs emissions and as former colonial rulers, the UK must take responsibility for Indias stymied development. More time and funding is needed to help this nation decarbonise.

Modi also committed the country to getting 50% of its energy from renewable sources by 2030.

This plan is more encouraging, and attracted plaudits back home, but it would still only represent a moderate increase from Indias current level of around 38%.

We can expect to see India start to reduce its carbon footprint at some point in the coming decades it just wont be quick enough without outside help.

Brazil

Carbon footprint: 2.2 billion tonnes

Increase in the past 10 years: 2.9%

Brazils emissions total has barely risen in the past decade so should we be concerned? Well, partly because the world has to massively slash emissions rather than keep the status quo, but theres also a bigger problem at play here.

In 2011, Brazils carbon footprint dropped to 1.27 billion tonnes a reduction of 41% from the year before. It was an incredible step, and one that seemed to herald a bright future.

Fast forward to the presidency of far-right leader Jair Bolsonaro, and Brazil started growing its carbon footprint once again.

While the world as a whole experienced a 7% drop in greenhouse gas emissions as COVID-19 swept around the globe, Brazils emissions rose by 9.5%, according to Reuters.

The precious Amazon rainforest has been depleted under Bolsonaro, to the extent that it now releases more greenhouse gases than it absorbs.

Brazilian academics and activists have warned that the Amazon will collapse entirely if Bolsonaro doesnt leave office soon, and we can expect the countrys emissions to keep rising at the same time.

amazon rainforest deforestation

Russia

Carbon footprint: 2 billion tonnes

Increase in the past 10 years: 15%

Russias carbon footprint equates to 14 tonnes per person, one of the highest in the world and it may actually be higher.

The country has repeatedly altered its own estimates, and is now massively underestimating its methane emissions with seemingly little enthusiasm for fixing the issue.

There are complicated cultural reasons for this lack of concern, but a large part of it stems from Russias reliance on its fossil-fuel-powered energy industry.

Its the second-largest gas producer and third-largest oil producer in the world, with much of this fuel exported abroad which leads to huge revenues and an undue amount of influence for the Kremlin.

We shouldnt expect too much sympathy for the worlds plight from President Vladimir Putin, who has ruled Russia since 2000.

As recently as 2018, he blamed climate change on invisible moves in the galaxy. He has struck a less willingly ignorant note since 2020, but still downplays the effect that humanity can have on the climate.

Largely as a result of Putins approach to the issue, the Climate Action Tracker has rated Russias efforts to reduce its emissions as critically insufficient, and accused the Eastern European nation of taking minimal to no action.

This almost certainly wont change any time soon.

Saudi Arabia

Carbon footprint: 638 million tonnes

Increase in the past 10 years: 42%

There are bigger greenhouse gas emitters than Saudi Arabia Indonesia, Iran, and Mexico all release more but none of them can compete with Saudi Arabias 18.3 tonnes per person figure.

This is ridiculously high, and is largely down to the Kingdoms status as a major fossil fuel producer, which it has no plans to move away from.

In fact, just before Saudi Arabia announced it would aim for net zero by 2060, its national oil company, Saudi Aramco, said it was targeting an increase in oil production capacity by 2030, despite already being the biggest oil exporter in the world.

The Kingdom has said oil revenues which make up 60% of its budget will fund its move to renewable power, but this is doubtful and ethically dubious.

Its doubtful because the country often creates apparently encouraging renewable goals, then fails to follow through.

One of these targets states that Saudi Arabia will generate 50% of its electricity with renewable methods by 2030. This figure currently stands at 0.1%.

And its ethically dubious because the exported oil will create millions of tonnes of greenhouse gases which will only be attributed to the countries who consume the oil, not to Saudi Arabia.

The repressive country stabilised and even slightly lowered its emissions total from 2016 to 2018, after doubling its total from in just 13 years from 2002 to 2015.

But this must be weighed against the countrys position as one of the leading producers and exporters of fossil fuels, and its refusal to take responsibility for the effects of their use.

South Korea

Carbon footprint: 673 million tonnes

Increase in the past 10 years: 29%

South Korea emits 13 tonnes of CO2e per person, an extremely high amount thats mostly produced by its energy usage.

The country doesnt produce much energy, so it imports it, mainly in the form of oil, gas, and coal.

76% of South Koreas energy is powered by fossil fuels, one of the highest proportions in the world and it uses a lot of energy.

The East Asian nation is the seventh-highest consumer of electricity in the world above countries like the UK, Germany, and France, which all have larger populations and economies.

Thankfully, South Korea is taking actions to reduce its emissions in the future, even if theyre only moderately encouraging steps.

Like the UK, South Korea has signed into law its pledge to reach net zero by 2050, and is also aiming to cut its emissions by 40% by 2030.

To reach this goal, the government has come up with a number of ideas, including giving electric vehicle buyers a 19 million won (£11,700) discount.

This contrasts sharply with the UK, which cut its grant for electric cars by £1,000, to just £1,500, in December 2021.

South Korea also wants to increase renewables share of its electricity mix from its current 6.2% level to 30.2% by 2030.

The country will no doubt start reducing its carbon footprint soon, due to these positive moves, but theyre still not enough.

The great majority of countries carbon footprints are increasing.

Outside of Europe and the US, there are precious few nations that have succeeded in reducing their greenhouse gas emissions.

Its so rare, in fact, that we should pay tribute to countries like Japan, New Zealand, Israel, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, which have managed to at least stabilise their emissions.

We need global action, and we need it soon but the UK must also take responsibility, and help other nations to decarbonise.

After all, our emissions level per person is 2.5 times higher than Indias, and since the Industrial Revolution, the UK has emitted 78 billion tonnes of emissions the fifth-highest total in history.

Written by

josh jackman

Josh has written about and reported on eco-friendly home improvements and climate change for the past four years.

His data-driven work has featured on the front page of the Financial Times and in publications including The Independent, Telegraph, Times, Sun, Daily Express, and Fox News, earned him the position of resident expert in BT’s smart home tech initiative, and been referenced in official United Nations and World Health Organisation documents.

He’s also been interviewed on BBC One’s Rip-Off Britain, BBC Radio 4, and BBC Radio 5 Live as an expert on everything from renewable energy to government policy and space travel’s carbon footprint, and regularly attends Grand Designs Live as a Green Living Expert, giving bespoke advice to members of the public about heat pumps and solar panels.

Josh has also used the journalistic skills he developed at The Jewish Chronicle and PinkNews to investigate and analyse every green government grant in existence, and examine the impact on the climate of cryptocurrency, Glastonbury Festival, and the World Cup.

You can get in touch with Josh via email.

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